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Reflecting Dividends of Democracy: A Holistic Approach to Tinubu’s Eight-Year Presidential Tenure

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Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s presidency of Nigeria has been heralded by several prominent figures, including Minister of Works Dave Umahi and APC chieftain Yekini Nabena, as divinely destined to span two terms, totalling eight years. These endorsements come amid economic challenges and rising expectations for transformative leadership. The billion-dollar question is how Tinubu’s administration can deliver on the promise of lasting positive change. This discussion explores actionable strategies that could ensure the holistic delivery of the dividends of democracy to Nigeria, encompassing economic development, social welfare, political stability, technological advancement, public engagement, and robust implementation mechanisms.

Steadfastly, the current discourse surrounding Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s potential for serving a full eight-year term as Nigeria’s president reflects a mix of optimism, political loyalty, and strategic positioning. While prominent figures like Minister of Works Dave Umahi and APC chieftain Yekini Nabena underscore the notion that Tinubu’s tenure is divinely ordained and resistant to political disruptions, it is important to consider the broader context of such assertions.
 *Support and Optimism*
1. *Political Backing*: The current support from key political figures within the All Progressives Congress (APC), including Nabena and Umahi, signals strong intra-party unity. This cohesion is crucial for navigating the complexities and challenges of governance.
2. *Influential Endorsements*: Arthur Eze’s endorsement reflects a segment of Nigeria’s influential elite placing their confidence in Tinubu’s leadership. These endorsements can serve to bolster public confidence and encourage a collective national effort towards the administration’s goals.
3. *Faith in Reforms*: The emphasis on ongoing reforms suggests a belief that economic and policy measures currently being implemented will yield positive outcomes over time. The assertion that Tinubu’s opponents will eventually have to acknowledge these achievements implies a reliance on the tangible benefits of these reforms to counteract opposition narratives.
 *Challenges and Realities*
1. *Economic Hurdles*: The recognition of the country’s economic challenges indicates an understanding that the success of Tinubu’s administration will be significantly measured by its ability to address these issues effectively. Economic performance often influences political stability and public support.
2. *Political Dynamics*: Nigerian politics is known for its complexity and fluidity. The assertion of divine destiny and inevitability of an eight-year term, while rhetorically potent, does not eliminate the potential for significant political shifts, internal party dissent, or external pressures that could impact Tinubu’s tenure.
3. *Public Sentiment*: Ultimately, the success of any administration is contingent on public perception and satisfaction. While elite support and party coherence are beneficial, widespread public endorsement will be crucial, especially as reforms begin to impact daily life.
Surmising, the notion of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu serving a full eight-year term is supported by influential political and economic figures, reflecting a mix of optimism, strategic political support, and a belief in the administration’s current trajectory. However, the path to realizing this goal will depend on the administration’s ability to address Nigeria’s pressing economic challenges, maintain political stability, and secure broad-based public support. The coming years will be pivotal in determining whether the optimism espoused by Tinubu’s supporters will translate into tangible and lasting success.
The core question remains how can Tinubu’s administration bring to life the ideal vision for Nigeria, ensuring that the principles of democracy are fully realized and the benefits are comprehensively delivered to every citizen?
Essentially, ensuring the holistic delivery of the dividends of democracy under Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration involves a multifaceted approach that addresses economic, social, political, and institutional challenges. If his administration aims to align with the notion of a “divinely destined” leadership, it must focus on tangible results and effective governance. Here are several strategies that could help achieve this:
 *Economic Reforms and Development* 
1. *Fiscal Responsibility and Transparency*: Implement policies that promote fiscal responsibility, reduce corruption, and ensure transparent management of public funds. Transparent governance builds public trust and promotes accountability.
2. *Diversification of the Economy*: Move away from over-dependence on oil by promoting sectors such as agriculture, technology, manufacturing, and services. This diversification can create jobs and ensure sustainable economic growth.
3. *Infrastructure Development*: Prioritize and expedite the completion of critical infrastructure projects such as roads, railways, power generation, and broadband internet. Improved infrastructure can boost economic activity and improve quality of life.
 *Social Welfare and Human Development* 
4. *Education and Healthcare*: Invest significantly in education and healthcare systems to enhance human capital. This includes building schools, and hospitals, training medical personnel, and implementing policies that make education and healthcare accessible and affordable.
5. *Social Safety Nets*: Develop robust social safety nets to protect the most vulnerable populations from economic shocks. This includes unemployment benefits, food security programs, and affordable housing initiatives.
 *Political Stability and Good Governance* 
6. *Strengthen Democratic Institutions*: Ensure the independence and efficiency of democratic institutions such as the judiciary, electoral commission, and anti-corruption bodies. Strong institutions are crucial for the rule of law and democratic stability.
7. *Inclusive Governance*: Promote inclusivity by ensuring that all ethnic, religious, and social groups are represented in government. This can foster national unity and mitigate potential conflicts.
8. *Electoral Reforms*: Implement electoral reforms that ensure free, fair, and credible elections. This can enhance political stability and public confidence in the democratic process.
 *Security and Rule of Law*
9. *Tackle Insecurity*: Develop a comprehensive approach to combat insecurity, including strengthening the military and police forces, addressing root causes of insurgency and banditry, and promoting community policing.
10. *Justice and Legal Reforms*: Ensure swift and fair justice delivery by reforming the judicial system and reducing case backlogs. Legal reforms should also focus on protecting human rights and curbing abuses by security agencies.
 *Technological Advancement and Innovation* 
11. *Digital Economy*: Leverage technology and digital solutions to enhance governance efficiency, economic growth, and service delivery. Developing a digital infrastructure can spur innovation and attract investments.
12. *Encouraging Startups*: Foster an environment that supports startups and entrepreneurship through government-backed initiatives, access to funding, and regulatory support.
 *Public Engagement and Communication*
13. *Transparent Communication*: Maintain clear and consistent communication with the public regarding government policies, achievements, and challenges. Engaging the public through various platforms can build trust and foster a sense of collective effort.
14. *Civic Education*: Promote civic education to ensure that citizens are informed about their rights and responsibilities in a democratic society. Active citizen participation is essential for a thriving democracy.
 *Implementation and Monitoring* 
15. *Effective Implementation*: Develop mechanisms for the effective implementation of policies and initiatives. This includes setting clear goals, timelines, and responsibilities for government agencies.
16. *Monitoring and Evaluation*: Establish robust systems for monitoring and evaluating the impact of government programs. Continuous assessment allows for adjustments and improvements to ensure desired outcomes.
By focusing on these strategies, Tinubu’s administration can work towards the holistic delivery of the dividends of democracy, aligning with the perceived divine mandate and improving the lives of Nigerians across all sectors.
In conclusion, ensuring the holistic delivery of democratic dividends under Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration requires a comprehensive and multifaceted approach to addressing Nigeria’s economic, social, political, and institutional challenges. By focusing on transparency, economic diversification, robust infrastructure, social welfare, inclusive governance, and security, the administration can align with its perceived divine mandate. Effective implementation, coupled with continuous public engagement, can foster trust and inclusive development. If these strategies are diligently pursued, the Tinubu administration could indeed realize the transformative change envisioned for Nigeria, thus solidifying its legacy and meeting the high expectations set by its advocates.

♦ Professor Ojo Emmanuel Ademola is a Nigerian Professor of Cyber Security and Information Technology Management, and holds a Chartered Manager Status, and by extension, Chartered Fellow (CMgr FCMI) by the highly Reputable Royal Chartered Management Institute.

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From Noise to Votes: Nigerian Youth Must Turn Online Fire into Electoral Power

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Young Nigerians have shown a remarkable ability to create waves in the digital space. With a single click, they can expose a politician’s corruption, rally tens of thousands of supporters behind a single hashtag, and keep every political actor on edge from dawn until dusk. However, as the 2027 general elections draw closer, it is time to face an uncomfortable truth: loud online noise isn’t the same as real power in the political sphere. If Nigerian youth wish to get the best possible leadership from their nation’s leaders, they need to take their online activity offline (i.e., to places where actual democracy occurs) and start showing up to cast votes.

There is simply too much evidence to ignore that this needs to occur. Nigeria is a young country demographically. Together, Gen Z and Millennials comprise approximately half of the total population—50.1 percent—according to IntelPoint. Gen Z makes up 25.8 percent and Millennials account for 24.3 percent. When we consider Gen Alpha, the percentage rises to 85.7% of the population under 44. According to ActionAid Nigeria, more than 60% of Nigeria’s population is under 30. According to Afrobarometer, Nigeria has a median age of 18.1 years, and 58% of its population is aged 0-29. Therefore, Nigeria isn’t merely a young country; it is a country dominated by young people.

Based on this information, this dominant demographic should wield considerable political influence. Unfortunately, there often appears to be little correlation between these statistics and political influence. The contrast is striking. While a majority of Nigeria’s population is young, there remains a significant gap between how influential young people are politically and how influential they could be. This lack of influence is not due to a lack of ability among young people; rather, it stems from many young people stopping short of completing what is often called the “civic journey,” which involves moving from awareness to action. They consume politics, engage in political debate on social media, participate in meme politics, and express frustration with politics through social media rants; however, many young people still fail to register to vote (PVCs) or participate in elections in sufficient numbers to affect the outcome.

This disparity is important because youth dissatisfaction is far from abstract. More than 23% of Nigerian youth report being unemployed or seeking employment, according to Afrobarometer. Additionally, more than two-thirds of youth aged 18 to 35 report having some form of postsecondary or secondary-level education. Despite Nigeria ranking among the lowest in providing employment and opportunities for youth, and despite identifying high costs of living, unemployment, crime and security concerns, poverty, poor economic management practices, and insufficient access to electricity as the top five issues requiring immediate attention from government officials, youth dissatisfaction cannot be considered indifferent. Rather, youth dissatisfaction reflects citizens’ grievances and legitimate reasons to be deeply interested in who governs their country.

However, mere interest alone will not suffice. Democracy does not reward passion without participation. A young person can identify every weakness inherent in a political system; however, unless that person participates by casting a vote, they will remain a spectator to their own future. If you are mature enough to understand concepts such as inflation, insecurity, broken campaign promises, unemployment rates, and poorly managed governance systems, you are mature enough to accept responsibility for your role in creating solutions to those problems. That responsibility begins with voting.

In addition to continuing to use social media to raise awareness of voter registration, election knowledge, fact-checking mechanisms used during elections, and peaceful participation methods, social media can also serve as a vehicle for facilitating the transition from social media activism to actual civic engagement. Young Nigerians should leverage their social media presence to encourage voter registration, promote election literacy programs, provide fact-checking services to counter election misinformation, and advocate for nonviolent participation throughout the electoral cycle. They should convert their social media timelines into civic classrooms. Where can I find the information I need about voter registration processes? Where is my assigned polling station located? Where do I receive my Permanent Voter Card? How do I protect myself from spreading misinformation? How do I properly monitor election results? These are not dull topics; they represent essential tools required for surviving democracy.

Youth organizations, creators, and social media entities can also help facilitate offline civic engagement. Use your WhatsApp groups to alert others as registration deadlines approach. Use X Spaces and Instagram Live to focus on discussing relevant issues rather than hurling insults. Use TikTok to simplify the voting process. Use Facebook to motivate family members and first-time voters to participate in elections. Use whatever platforms are available to make civic obligation contagious. Nigeria’s youth have shown they can create viral content. Now they must begin to generate participation on a viral scale.

One of the most damaging myths in Nigerian politics is that “your vote doesn’t matter.” It is a self-fulfilling prophecy that only serves the interests of cynics, crooks, and machines whose success depends solely on low turnout. Yes, Nigeria’s electoral process has flaws. Yes, there have been numerous disappointments. However, the response to a flawed democracy is not abandonment; it is increased participation. By staying home on Election Day, youth essentially give their votes — and therefore control — directly to the very same groups they loathe.

Another mythological excuse for the youth’s failure to vote in Nigeria is the claim that “all politicians are alike.” No — they’re not all the same. While some politicians are inept, others are corrupt, and others exhibit both characteristics, democracy is not about seeking holy men or women; it is about making selections and enforcing accountability. An individual who refuses to make a selection for office because none of the options appear acceptable is ultimately selecting the candidate most likely to emerge victorious by default.

Nigeria’s youth already constitute the country’s largest demographic group. It is time for them to become its strongest democratic force as well. However, that will not be achieved by trending hashtags alone. Instead, it will be achieved when online energy is harnessed and directed toward political organization, civic education, voter registration, increasing voter turnout, and holding elected representatives accountable after elections.

The 2023 election saw remarkable youth participation but lacked follow-up. Therefore, the 2027 election should not produce another generation of disillusioned observers; instead, it should yield a new generation of participatory citizens. Let online flames ignite electoral power. Let debates become ballots. Let criticism evolve into participation. If Nigerian youth can dominate social media, they can also dominate democracy. The future will not be handed to them in a retweet. They must elect it into existence.

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♦ Chris Ulasi is on the Editorial Board of The West African Pilot News. He contributes stories about culture and tradition, elite politics, ethnicity and national integration, civil society, and social movement. He is a university professor, community builder, poet, film producer, recording the emergent Nollywood cultural history through film.

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Anthony Obi Ogbo

Between Silence and Sabotage: Jonathan’s Return to Political Manipulation

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“Jonathan’s calculated and weaponized ambiguity breeds deception and weakens emerging political alliances.” —Dr. Anthony Obi Ogbo

Former Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan has once again found himself at the center of presidential speculation, floating silently above the country’s political waters while supporters aggressively market him as a possible candidate ahead of another critical election cycle. And once again, Jonathan is doing what he has mastered throughout his political career: saying nothing clearly while allowing political confusion to grow around him.

This pattern is not new. It is the same indecisive political behavior that defined some of the most consequential moments of his rise and fall. Jonathan became president in 2010 following the death of President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua. At the time, many northern political stakeholders within the then-ruling PDP believed there was an informal understanding that Jonathan would complete Yar’Adua’s term but not seek another full term in 2011, thereby preserving the party’s zoning arrangement between North and South. Instead of taking a clear and immediate position, Jonathan spent months dribbling the nation politically. He neither fully denied nor openly confirmed his intentions until the political tension had already escalated nationwide.

By the time he eventually declared his candidacy, the damage had been done. Many northern allies who initially supported him felt betrayed, politically cornered, or deceived. The PDP fractured internally, regional distrust deepened, and Jonathan’s relationship with major northern power blocs deteriorated permanently. Though he won the 2011 election, the cracks created by that indecision followed him into 2015, contributing significantly to the coalition that eventually removed him from power.

Yet Jonathan learned little from that experience. Since losing reelection in 2015, his name has repeatedly surfaced during every major electoral cycle as a potential presidential contender. Each time, his supporters strategically floated his candidacy across media platforms and political circles. Each time, Jonathan refused to decisively shut the door. Silence became his political instrument, whereas ambiguity became his strategy.

Now the country is witnessing the same playbook again. As coalition politics intensify and opposition forces attempt to consolidate around alternative political movements, Jonathan’s name has resurfaced aggressively. Reports and speculations about his presidential ambition continue to dominate political discussions, especially within camps seeking to disrupt the growing momentum surrounding Peter Obi and emerging opposition realignments.

The troubling part is not merely that Jonathan’s supporters are campaigning. The troubling part is that Jonathan fully understands the implications of his silence. He knows that his political stature carries enough weight to destabilize fragile coalition negotiations. He knows his name alone can divide campaign structures, weaken consensus-building, and inject uncertainty into opposition calculations. Yet he refuses to publicly and definitively state where he stands.

That is not statesmanship. That is calculated political ambiguity. Jonathan’s political history is filled with similarly contradictory choices. After losing power in 2015, he received widespread praise for conceding defeat peacefully. He initially framed that decision as a sacrifice made to preserve Nigerian lives and prevent violence. Later, however, different narratives emerged suggesting international pressure, particularly from the United States under President Obama. The shifting explanations weakened what could have remained one of his strongest democratic legacies.

Then came another contradiction. Despite emerging politically from the PDP, Jonathan gradually aligned himself closely with the administration of former President Muhammadu Buhari, serving in diplomatic and goodwill capacities that many PDP loyalists considered politically inappropriate. This unusual closeness fueled longstanding allegations that elements within the APC establishment viewed Jonathan as a useful political instrument capable of destabilizing opposition coalitions from within. Whether those allegations are true or not, Jonathan’s conduct has consistently created room for suspicion.

His political base remains uncertain. His campaign structure is invisible.

Today, his undeclared ambition is already generating confusion among supporters, coalition organizers, and opposition strategists. His political base remains uncertain. His campaign structure is invisible. His intentions are unclear. Yet his loyalists continue mobilizing aggressively in his name while he watches silently from the shadows.

Nigeria is too politically fragile for this kind of elite gamesmanship. At critical national moments, leadership demands clarity, courage, and accountability. Jonathan cannot continue operating as a permanent “maybe” in Nigeria’s political future, thoughtlessly hovering around every election season like an unanswered question designed to manipulate negotiations and weaken emerging alliances.

At this time, Jonathan should sit in or sit out! If he wants to run, he should declare openly, defend his record, and face the democratic process directly. If he does not intend to run, he should immediately and publicly withdraw his name from the political marketplace. Anything short of that increasingly looks less like political strategy and more like calculated deception. Nigeria deserves leaders who make difficult choices openly—not politicians who weaponize silence while others gamble with national uncertainty in their name.

♦ Publisher of the Guardian News, Professor Anthony Obi Ogbo, Ph.D., is on the Editorial Board of the West African Pilot News. He is the author of the Influence of Leadership (2015)  and the Maxims of Political Leadership (2019). Contact: anthony@guardiannews.us

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Anthony Obi Ogbo

Nigeria, South Africa: When Memory Fails, Brotherhood Burns

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Nigeria’s Forgotten Sacrifice and the Tragedy of Xenophobia in South Africa

As George Santayana famously warned, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” The unfolding xenophobic tensions in South Africa reflect more than economic strain; they reveal a deeper crisis of memory and meaning. When history fades, gratitude dissolves, and fear replaces solidarity. The violence directed at fellow Africans is not merely social unrest; it is a philosophical failure to reconcile past sacrifice with present identity, reminding us that nations, like individuals, must remember to remain whole.

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I recall that when I was in college in Nigeria, all Southern African students, present in substantial numbers, were on full federal government scholarships and received an additional income called a bursary. They lived better than many Nigerians; some even drove cars. Many adopted Nigerian names, assimilated seamlessly, and secured opportunities with ease, while Nigerian graduates faced rising unemployment. It was a quiet but powerful demonstration of solidarity, Nigeria investing in the future of a region still shackled by apartheid.

Today, that history feels almost erased.

For years now, waves of xenophobic attacks in South Africa, often targeting Nigerians, and more recently Ghanaians and other African nationals, have revealed a troubling pattern: violence fueled by economic frustration, misinformation, and historical amnesia. Shops are looted, homes burned, and lives disrupted under the recurring claim that “foreigners are taking jobs.” Yet this narrative collapses under even the most basic scrutiny of history.

Nigeria was not a bystander in South Africa’s liberation; it was a central force.

Under the military leadership of Olusegun Obasanjo, Nigeria became the first country in history to boycott the Commonwealth Games in protest against apartheid. That decision was not symbolic; it was costly, bold, and globally consequential. Obasanjo went further, advocating a continental defense posture and proposing what he termed a “Black bomb,” a radical idea reflecting the urgency of protecting African sovereignty against external aggression.

Nigeria’s commitment extended beyond rhetoric. During the Ibrahim Babangida regime, South Africa sought to exert strategic influence in Equatorial Guinea, offering infrastructure support before the discovery of oil. Nigeria recognized the geopolitical implications and decisively intervened, severing ties and offering its own support. The situation escalated to the point where Equatorial Guinea petitioned Nigeria at the United Nations for intervention. Nigeria did not retreat. This was not interference; it was protection. It was foresight. It was leadership.

Nigeria funded liberation movements, provided education, opened its economy, and bore economic sacrifices, including the nationalization of British Petroleum assets, to pressure the apartheid regime. These were not acts of charity; they were acts of conviction rooted in a vision of a free and united Africa.

And yet, decades later, Nigerians are hunted in the very land their country helped liberate.

The tragedy of xenophobia in South Africa is not merely about violence—it is about the collapse of historical consciousness. A generation disconnected from its past becomes vulnerable to manipulation, scapegoating, and misplaced anger. Economic hardship is real, but it does not justify the erasure of truth or the targeting of fellow Africans.

If history were remembered accurately, perhaps the conversation would be different. Perhaps the anger would be redirected toward structural inequalities rather than neighboring nationals. Perhaps the bonds of Pan-African solidarity would still hold.

But memory has faded, and in its absence, resentment has grown. Africa cannot afford selective memory. Nations that forget who stood with them in their darkest hours risk losing their moral compass in moments of crisis. Nigeria’s role in the liberation of South Africa is not a footnote—it is a foundation. To ignore it is to misunderstand both the past and the present.

Equally troubling is the persistent failure of successive South African governments to decisively confront and eradicate xenophobic violence. Such inaction, whether intentional or not, signals a dangerous tolerance, if not tacit endorsement, of these attacks, allowing them to recur with impunity. If brotherhood is to mean anything, it must be anchored in truth and reinforced by responsible leadership. And if Africa is to move forward, it must first remember and act.

♦ Publisher of the Guardian News, Professor Anthony Obi Ogbo, Ph.D., is on the Editorial Board of the West African Pilot News. He is the author of the Influence of Leadership (2015)  and the Maxims of Political Leadership (2019). Contact: anthony@guardiannews.us

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